Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.891596 12.080011 13.357875 14.836352 16.502633 18.325655 20.475498
2025-09-07 9.233500 10.886702 12.791060 15.156450 18.028748 21.419929 25.751053
2025-09-14 7.799875 9.684966 11.987811 15.029645 18.974013 23.959300 30.806206
2025-09-21 6.634306 8.613383 11.157405 14.704614 19.581587 26.137410 35.763473
2025-09-28 5.802926 7.837149 10.573345 14.579060 20.388428 28.655229 41.578923
2025-10-05 5.335967 7.475922 10.479064 15.083085 22.110191 32.677132 50.247072
2025-10-12 4.932087 7.142872 10.367182 15.523807 23.776089 36.844493 59.885908
2025-10-19 4.505335 6.718640 10.058831 15.607105 24.874960 40.263134 68.910029
2025-10-26 4.093830 6.266451 9.647156 15.458299 25.551934 43.057707 77.339809
2025-11-02 3.728586 5.844475 9.230200 15.236183 26.053151 45.594547 85.743012
2025-11-09 3.406620 5.457306 8.824177 14.973638 26.430202 47.937890 94.190980
2025-11-16 3.141747 5.137228 8.494063 14.797860 26.928997 50.564482 103.710900
2025-11-23 2.917296 4.869641 8.235501 14.737196 27.671387 53.855691 115.535426
2025-11-30 2.775535 4.732172 8.191801 15.073155 29.245634 59.118754 133.061519
2025-12-07 2.584802 4.489195 7.931830 14.958359 29.882159 62.496298 146.924041
2025-12-14 2.388165 4.217524 7.591534 14.641849 30.044900 64.849286 158.795598
2025-12-21 2.236004 4.014724 7.361437 14.521057 30.613419 68.226499 174.193300
2025-12-28 2.168967 3.966971 7.426353 15.025485 32.664221 75.515696 202.353021
2026-01-04 2.099152 3.907136 7.460403 15.466010 34.633417 82.979817 233.197307
2026-01-11 1.998816 3.778053 7.340854 15.550023 35.755434 88.467225 259.622308
2026-01-18 1.885175 3.612733 7.130706 15.402485 36.279463 92.448734 282.401275
2026-01-25 1.774611 3.444961 6.900440 15.181672 36.584724 95.885135 304.419123
2026-02-01 1.669728 3.280990 6.664232 14.920429 36.747660 98.952003 326.134907